Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:52:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e98…3e80
sports · 131 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$515 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$523 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$523
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses83 / 47
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions1
Markets (closed)130 / 131
History coverage232d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 44¢ 32¢ $60 $43 −$17 (-28%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner FURIA 75¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $69 −$6 -9%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $64 −$5 -7%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $32 +$40 +127%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $77 −$46 -60%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $20 +$6 +32%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $20 +$9 +45%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Apr 29 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Apr 29 $14 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Apr 29 $14 +$2 +11%
Magic vs. Pistons Apr 20 $99 −$99 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 19 $75 +$25 +33%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 19 $67 +$8 +12%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 19 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 19 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 15 $84 +$33 +40%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Apr 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora (BO3) Apr 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Apr 14 $83 −$83 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner Apr 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Dota 2: Heroic vs Execration (BO1) Apr 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1) Apr 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3) Apr 14 $198 −$198 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ShindeN (BO3) Apr 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) Apr 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) Apr 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GUN5 Esports (BO3) Apr 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Apr 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3) Apr 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tearlaments (BO1) Apr 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Peru Rejects (BO3) Apr 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5) Apr 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Gr Apr 14 $74 −$30 -40%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs SAW (BO3) Apr 14 $171 −$159 -93%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Voca (BO3) - Ace North American Masters P Apr 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons (BO3) Apr 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Pla Apr 14 $105 −$105 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Apr 14 $168 −$168 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 14 $20 +$69 +344%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 14 $24 +$20 +86%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 14 $119 −$49 -41%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 13 $64 +$9 +14%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 13 $77 +$6 +7%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 11 $44 +$33 +76%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 11 $33 +$11 +32%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Mar 29 $256 +$16 +6%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Mar 19 $25 +$13 +51%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A Mar 19 $146 +$9 +6%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Gro Mar 18 $33 +$19 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$540
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 58¢ $35 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 51¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 30¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL Vitality 100¢ $61 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 96¢ $59 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $57 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 3¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 92¢ $53 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 7¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team 18¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 40¢ $11 5h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $72 5h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $22 6h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 42¢ $10 7h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 28¢ $31 22h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 68¢ $77 24h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 100¢ $27 25h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 75¢ $20 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $29 29h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $20 32h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $20 32h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 75¢ $16 45d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 72¢ $15 45d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 69¢ $14 45d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $16 45d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B BUY Natus Vincere 90¢ $14 45d
Magic vs. Pistons BUY Pistons 62¢ $99 55d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs SELL Vitality 100¢ $99 55d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs BUY Vitality 75¢ $6 56d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs BUY Vitality 75¢ $34 56d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +4.0% -5.9% 43% 43% -15.8%
≤30d 7 +4.0% -5.9% 43% 43% -15.8%
≤90d 51 -36.1% -42.2% 37% 29% -47.7%
all 130 -3.3% -12.5% 64% 42% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 42% -14.1%
10% -20.9% 28% -22.4%
15% -28.5% 18% -29.9%
20% -35.5% 12% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.16 · official $43.16 (match) · 305 history records