Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7ea5…de7b
sports · 291 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$72,516 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$69,756 · open +$2,760
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$524,214
Realized+$69,756
Unrealized+$2,760
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses368 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$1,431
Open positions135
Markets (closed)391 / 291
Avg bet$1,527
Trades / day1309.4
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 135 History 391 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$69,224
7 days+$69,756
14 days+$69,756
30 days+$69,756
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 79¢ 80¢ $50,264 $50,584 +$320 (+1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $30,498 $30,430 −$68 (-0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 52¢ $29,844 $30,218 +$374 (+1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Yes 37¢ 100¢ $9,699 $26,215 +$16,515 (+170%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $23,767 $23,709 −$58 (-0%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 24¢ $16,634 $17,719 +$1,085 (+7%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? No 89¢ 100¢ $14,751 $16,614 +$1,863 (+13%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score No 62¢ 100¢ $6,379 $10,307 +$3,928 (+62%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? No 79¢ 100¢ $7,841 $9,925 +$2,084 (+27%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $9,322 $9,093 −$229 (-2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $8,577 $8,571 −$5 (-0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $8,153 $8,203 +$51 (+1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? No 96¢ 96¢ $7,897 $7,897 +$1 (+0%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 52¢ 54¢ $6,700 $6,851 +$150 (+2%)
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) Mexico 97¢ 100¢ $6,276 $6,461 +$185 (+3%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $6,262 $6,349 +$87 (+1%)
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Czechia 84¢ 100¢ $5,269 $6,299 +$1,030 (+20%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $5,950 $5,971 +$20 (+0%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 100¢ $2,440 $5,832 +$3,392 (+139%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Yes 68¢ 100¢ $3,820 $5,618 +$1,798 (+47%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 81¢ $5,614 $5,606 −$9 (-0%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? No 68¢ 100¢ $3,692 $5,430 +$1,738 (+47%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 96¢ 96¢ $5,237 $5,239 +$2 (+0%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? No 76¢ 76¢ $4,743 $4,752 +$8 (+0%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 59¢ 60¢ $4,458 $4,598 +$140 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $1,152 +$61 +5%
Will Togo vs. Benin end in a draw? Jun 12 $697 +$328 +47%
Will Niger vs. Mauritania end in a draw? Jun 12 $663 +$320 +48%
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $729 +$137 +19%
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Jun 12 $579 +$266 +46%
Will Ethiopia vs. Malawi end in a draw? Jun 12 $566 +$263 +46%
Will Togo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $263 +$465 +177%
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $397 +$312 +79%
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $522 +$183 +35%
Will Central African Republic win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $574 +$116 +20%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $242 +$342 +141%
Will Albania vs. Israel end in a draw? Jun 12 $395 +$161 +41%
Spread: Panama (-1.5) Jun 12 $481 +$72 +15%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $445 +$88 +20%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $443 +$74 +17%
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-28? Jun 12 $437 +$77 +18%
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $283 +$226 +80%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $459 +$48 +10%
Will Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw? Jun 12 $385 +$122 +32%
Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $416 +$85 +20%
Will Gambia win on 2026-05-29? Jun 12 $420 +$75 +18%
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) Jun 12 $241 +$251 +104%
Albania vs. Israel: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $221 +$264 +120%
Spread: Sweden (-1.5) Jun 12 $340 +$128 +38%
Will FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw? Jun 12 $344 +$121 +35%
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw? Jun 12 $388 +$74 +19%
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $305 +$153 +50%
Will Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw? Jun 12 $315 +$133 +42%
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $197 +$250 +127%
Will Germany vs. Finland end in a draw? Jun 12 $403 +$43 +11%
Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $169 +$276 +163%
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $160 +$270 +168%
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $361 +$69 +19%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 12 $160 +$268 +167%
FCSB vs. AFC Unirea Slobozia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $55 +$371 +669%
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-05-22? Jun 12 $324 +$97 +30%
FC Utrecht vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $161 +$252 +156%
Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5) Jun 12 $320 +$90 +28%
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $154 +$256 +166%
Will Girona FC vs. Elche CF end in a draw? Jun 12 $98 +$310 +317%
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $370 +$37 +10%
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-22? Jun 12 $284 +$120 +42%
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $317 +$84 +27%
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO end in a draw? Jun 12 $107 +$289 +270%
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $166 +$228 +137%
Will Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Jun 12 $332 +$60 +18%
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $90 +$301 +335%
UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $178 +$209 +117%
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $148 +$238 +161%
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $304 +$82 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 73% +$25,557
sports 26% +$17,181
crypto 1% +$89
world 0% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $24 1m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $28 1m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 2m
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 58¢ $2 2m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $2 4m
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 16¢ $8 7m
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 16¢ $17 7m
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 16¢ $41 7m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $5 7m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 78¢ $1 10m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $258 18m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $33 19m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $33 19m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $136 19m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $178 19m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $106 19m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $30 19m
Will FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès end in a draw? BUY No 61¢ $11 45m
Will FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès end in a draw? BUY No 62¢ $11 45m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $60 45m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $3 47m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $69 47m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $606 48m
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 40¢ $148 48m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $397 48m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $203 51m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $210 51m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $257 51m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $43 51m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $25 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +87%
net ROI/market (all)+68.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 391 +86.2% +68.4% 94% 87% +24.8%
≤30d 391 +86.2% +68.4% 94% 87% +24.8%
≤90d 391 +86.2% +68.4% 94% 87% +24.8%
all 391 +86.2% +68.4% 94% 87% +24.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1309.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +68.4% 87% +24.8%
10% ← realistic here +52.3% 72% +12.9%
15% +37.6% 58% +1.9%
20% +24.1% 44% -8.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $524,214.46 · official $558,279.50 · 3500 history records