trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 50% | 0% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +137.3% | +114.7% | 40% | 10% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +137.3% | +114.7% | 40% | 10% | -8.9% |
| all | 21 | +58.0% | +43.0% | 38% | 5% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +43.0% | 5% | -10.3% |
| 10% | +29.3% | 5% | -18.9% |
| 15% | +16.8% | 5% | -26.7% |
| 20% | +5.4% | 5% | -33.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $48 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 31 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 30 | $31 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in his first 100 days? | May 05 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 65°F or higher on March 19? | Mar 19 | $8 | $0 | -6% |
| Florida State vs. Virginia | Mar 04 | $14 | −$6 | -43% |
| Nets vs. Spurs | Mar 03 | $16 | −$2 | -12% |
| 76ers vs. Timberwolves | Mar 03 | $17 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Trump say 'Hamas' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Villanova vs. Georgetown | Mar 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on March 4? | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |