Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:46:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7eaa…b6ab
crypto · 555 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$890 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$889 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 1 History 553 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$160
7 days+$160
14 days+$160
30 days−$225
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 25¢ 20¢ $7 $5 −$1 (-23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 70¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 19¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 58¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 24¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 70¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$17 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$24 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$12 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$20 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$26 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$52 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$36 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$41 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$19 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$22 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$890
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 -12.7% -21.0% 46% 42% -6.1%
≤30d 418 -12.7% -21.0% 44% 38% -12.2%
≤90d 418 -12.7% -21.0% 44% 38% -12.2%
all 553 -11.3% -19.7% 50% 37% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.7% 37% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 29% -23.9%
15% -34.4% 24% -31.3%
20% -40.8% 18% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.07 · official $13.12 · 3444 history records