Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:37:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7eb1…3c8a crypto 430 markets active 4d ago coverage 54d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$371 (-4%) realized −$371 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate65%278W / 152L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day19.3pace
Fees−$34est.
Kalshi-fit73%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$25
14 days−$53
30 days−$252
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 52% −$325
sports 27% −$197
other 21% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -13.5% -21.7% 69% 19% -23.0%
≤30d 253 -4.0% -13.2% 62% 17% -14.1%
≤90d 430 -6.8% -15.7% 65% 20% -14.1%
all 430 -6.8% -15.7% 65% 20% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 20% -14.1%
10% -23.8% 5% -22.3%
15% -31.1% 4% -29.8%
20% -37.9% 1% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
66% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$11 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.5 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$371
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses278 / 152
Est. fees paid−$34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)430 / 430
History coverage54d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day19.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 430 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Jun 14 $18 −$18 -99%
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi Jun 14 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$8 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $18 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $24 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $23 +$2 +7%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $12 +$7 +58%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $12 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $20 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -46%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 08 $42 −$2 -4%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 08 $15 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 08 $20 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 07 $24 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 07 $7 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +25%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 07 $8 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 07 $6 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 3d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 3d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 96¢ $1 3d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 76¢ $18 3d
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi SELL Ilay Yoruk 99¢ $20 4d
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi BUY Ilay Yoruk 96¢ $1 4d
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi BUY Ilay Yoruk 90¢ $17 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $17 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 5d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 96¢ $19 5d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 96¢ $0 5d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 90¢ $18 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 5d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp SELL Mia Pohankova 97¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1340 history records