Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:35:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7eba…ec71
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)4 / 8
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 4 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+108%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -86%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $2 55m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $1 22h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 22h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 22h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 22h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 23h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 30h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +2.1% -7.6% 50% 50% -15.8%
≤30d 4 +2.1% -7.6% 50% 50% -15.8%
≤90d 4 +2.1% -7.6% 50% 50% -15.8%
all 4 +2.1% -7.6% 50% 50% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.6% 50% -15.8%
10% -16.5% 50% -23.9%
15% -24.6% 50% -31.3%
20% -31.9% 25% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.86 · official $6.86 (match) · 13 history records