Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:51:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7ec7…0670
sports · 7 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$1 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$3
Realized+$1
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)3 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 4 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 72¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $1 +$1 +109%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% $0
other 43% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 51m
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $1 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY No 72¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $1 25h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +22.1% +10.5% 67% 67% +11.0%
≤30d 3 +22.1% +10.5% 67% 67% +11.0%
≤90d 3 +22.1% +10.5% 67% 67% +11.0%
all 3 +22.1% +10.5% 67% 67% +11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +10.5% 67% +11.0%
10% -0.1% 67% +0.4%
15% -9.7% 67% -9.3%
20% -18.6% 67% -18.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.98 · official $2.98 (match) · 9 history records