Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:31:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7ed0…9c4f
other · 894 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$8,044 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,618 · open +$288
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,216
Realized+$7,618
Unrealized+$288
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses493 / 262
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions154
Markets (closed)755 / 894
History coverage81d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day33.4
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 154 History 755 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$104
7 days+$1,373
14 days+$2,423
30 days+$4,661
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? No 85¢ 92¢ $303 $329 +$26 (+9%)
Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30? No 94¢ 95¢ $320 $323 +$3 (+1%)
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 93¢ $189 $252 +$63 (+33%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 60¢ 84¢ $170 $238 +$68 (+40%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in June? No 88¢ 98¢ $193 $214 +$22 (+11%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? No 97¢ 99¢ $195 $197 +$3 (+1%)
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $160 in June? No 73¢ 90¢ $141 $174 +$34 (+24%)
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by June 30? No 84¢ 86¢ $169 $173 +$4 (+2%)
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30? Yes 68¢ 47¢ $238 $164 −$74 (-31%)
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in June? No 57¢ 92¢ $85 $138 +$52 (+61%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 75¢ 84¢ $124 $138 +$14 (+11%)
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.50 in June? No 76¢ 97¢ $98 $126 +$27 (+28%)
Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 92¢ $117 $122 +$5 (+5%)
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30? Yes 48¢ 44¢ $130 $119 −$11 (-9%)
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 99¢ 98¢ $116 $115 −$1 (-1%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes 68¢ 100¢ $75 $110 +$35 (+47%)
Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 −$1 (-1%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in June? No 85¢ 97¢ $93 $107 +$13 (+14%)
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in June? No 69¢ 97¢ $69 $97 +$28 (+41%)
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30? Yes 29¢ 25¢ $111 $96 −$15 (-13%)
Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027? Yes 78¢ 94¢ $78 $94 +$16 (+20%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Yes 2¢ 28¢ $7 $89 +$82 (+1220%)
Will Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? No 66¢ 60¢ $92 $85 −$7 (-8%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $80 $84 +$4 (+5%)
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30? No 88¢ 92¢ $79 $82 +$3 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of t Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Jun 13 $12 +$26 +216%
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Nico Schlotterbeck be in Germany's Starting 11? Jun 12 $2 +$17 +943%
Will Elliot Anderson be in England's Starting 11? Jun 12 $11 +$7 +69%
Will Gonçalo Ramos be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $10 +$7 +69%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $959 +$61 +6%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at le Jun 12 $94 +$6 +6%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at le Jun 12 $46 +$3 +6%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1,851 +$4 +0%
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots Jun 12 $152 +$3 +2%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $28 −$27 -98%
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? Jun 12 $194 +$7 +3%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1 +$4 +249%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 12 $64 +$26 +40%
Will Cody Gakpo be in Netherlands's Starting 11? Jun 12 $1 +$17 +1404%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3,996 +$4 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $24 +$10 +41%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $26 −$23 -90%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $227 +$15 +7%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $38 −$37 -99%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $22 +$33 +148%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? Jun 09 $81 +$19 +24%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 in June? Jun 09 $12 +$11 +92%
Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Robert Lewandowski score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $205 +$5 +2%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $174 +$2 +1%
Will Maria Wanjera Ghimenton win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral Jun 08 $65 +$11 +17%
Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election? Jun 08 $106 +$7 +7%
Will Sandro Parcaroli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election? Jun 08 $107 +$13 +12%
Will Manuel Flavio Minervini win the 2026 Molfetta mayoral election? Jun 08 $72 +$56 +78%
Will Maria Natale win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election? Jun 08 $165 +$92 +55%
Will Eligia Santucci win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral electio Jun 08 $39 +$21 +54%
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election Jun 08 $609 +$555 +91%
Will Alfonso Scoppa win the 2026 Angri mayoral election? Jun 08 $118 +$69 +59%
Will Filippo Boscagli win the 2026 Lecco mayoral election? Jun 08 $291 +$56 +19%
Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral electio Jun 08 $108 +$380 +354%
Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election? Jun 08 $18 +$2 +11%
Will Marcello Comanducci win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election? Jun 08 $622 +$73 +12%
Will Mauro Gattinoni win the 2026 Lecco mayoral election? Jun 08 $33 −$16 -49%
Will Mario Almici win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election? Jun 08 $113 +$5 +5%
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election? Jun 08 $58 −$15 -25%
Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election? Jun 08 $85 −$83 -98%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $12 +$59 +490%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% +$4,932
finance 15% +$736
sports 13% +$71
tech 12% +$436
world 5% +$242
politics 5% +$1,458
crypto 3% +$125
culture 0% −$34
weather 0% −$46
economics 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Nico Schlotterbeck be in Germany's Starting 11? SELL Yes 96¢ $19 1h
Will Elliot Anderson be in England's Starting 11? SELL Yes 91¢ $18 1h
Will Cape Verde concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Grou BUY Yes 5¢ $0 1h
Will Cape Verde concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Grou BUY Yes 5¢ $0 1h
Will Gonçalo Ramos be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL No 88¢ $18 1h
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? BUY No 11¢ $6 1h
Will Ibrahima Konaté be in France's Starting 11? BUY Yes 18¢ $4 1h
Will Rayan Cherki be in France's Starting 11? BUY Yes 19¢ $12 1h
Will Marcus Thuram be in France's Starting 11? BUY Yes 6¢ $4 1h
Will Warren Zaïre-Emery be in France's Starting 11? BUY Yes 8¢ $18 1h
Will Igor Thiago be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group S BUY Yes 39¢ $8 1h
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Sta BUY Yes 79¢ $40 1h
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY No 11¢ $11 1h
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gra BUY No 99¢ $47 3h
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gra BUY No 99¢ $69 3h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? SELL Yes 25¢ $11 3h
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots BUY No 98¢ $152 3h
Will England record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 4h
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 31¢ $6 4h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 98¢ $885 4h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 100¢ $809 4h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 100¢ $1,042 4h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? SELL Yes 58¢ $70 4h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 96¢ $14 5h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 96¢ $5 5h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? BUY No 85¢ $34 7h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at le BUY No 97¢ $27 8h
Will Elon post "President" on X this week? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 +35.6% +22.7% 57% 39% +0.9%
≤30d 320 +22.3% +10.6% 61% 42% +0.9%
≤90d 755 +18.6% +7.3% 65% 41% -0.7%
all 755 +18.6% +7.3% 65% 41% -0.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.3% 41% -0.7%
10% ← realistic here -2.9% 32% -10.2%
15% -12.3% 24% -18.8%
20% -20.9% 20% -26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,216.42 · official $7,216.99 (match) · 3500 history records