Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7ed1…5c37
other · 116 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$74 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$69
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses34 / 69
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions13
Markets (closed)103 / 116
History coverage154d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 13 History 103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$44
14 days−$44
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $21 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+25%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+22%)
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+11%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-13%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-14%)
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 23¢ 20¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-13%)
Will Che Adams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 39¢ 46¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+19%)
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr. Neymar 8¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +59%
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -61%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$2 -65%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 +$4 +378%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +598%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -52%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% −$37
world 22% −$8
crypto 16% −$17
sports 11% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 6h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 11¢ $1 7h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 20¢ $4 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 7h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -19.4% -27.1% 31% 25% -33.3%
≤30d 67 -17.4% -25.3% 31% 25% -29.6%
≤90d 86 -17.3% -25.2% 31% 27% -28.1%
all 103 -19.1% -26.8% 33% 29% -22.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.8% 29% -22.5%
10% -33.8% 24% -29.9%
15% -40.2% 24% -36.7%
20% -46.0% 17% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $68.75 · official $68.75 (match) · 278 history records