Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:59:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7edb…6b35
sports · 800 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$84 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$77 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$137
Realized−$77
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses342 / 433
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions25
Markets (closed)775 / 800
History coverage35d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day35.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 25 History 775 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$67
14 days−$67
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner FURIA 76¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+32%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 26¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+284%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Team Heretics Academy 50¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner LOS 64¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+56%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 81¢ 94¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+16%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 78¢ 76¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 38¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+163%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner XLG Gaming 26¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+284%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 78¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+28%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Solary 90¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 76¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage KOLESIE 42¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+138%)
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Besiktas 36¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+178%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Zeynep Sonmez 55¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+82%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner FURIA 70¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+43%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 44¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+126%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 86¢ 92¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+8%)
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson Andrew Johnson 81¢ 92¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+13%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 88¢ 88¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Barcelona 24¢ 84¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+252%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 66¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group A BALU 34¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$1 (-24%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-18%)
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Lucia Bronzetti 41¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona La Laguna Tenerife 48¢ 16¢ $2 $1 −$2 (-68%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $8 +$2 +33%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $6 +$4 +61%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$3 +172%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $8 +$2 +21%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $7 −$2 -30%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $2 +$3 +163%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $4 +$6 +176%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$4 +81%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$4 +285%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $8 −$3 -37%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $6 +$4 +80%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$1 -10%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $7 +$3 +52%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 13 $9 −$4 -44%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$3 +212%
Ilkley (Doubles): Christie/Silva vs Brooks/Rajecki Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$5 +119%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $3 +$2 +72%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $13 −$3 -23%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $6 −$1 -19%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $9 −$4 -44%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$1 -22%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 13 $8 +$2 +27%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $8 +$2 +24%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Jong vs. Valle: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 13 $5 +$5 +98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$3 +188%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $11 −$1 -8%
Halle Open, Qualification: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Roberto Bautista Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$69
crypto 15% −$10
other 3% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 28¢ $1 2m
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 41¢ $2 5m
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson BUY Andrew Johnson 81¢ $4 9m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 86¢ $4 11m
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group A BUY BALU 34¢ $2 30m
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group A BUY BALU 34¢ $2 30m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 44¢ $2 32m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 66¢ $3 35m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 48¢ $2 42m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 28¢ $1 48m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 28¢ $1 48m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $4 54m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $4 54m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 73¢ $4 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 76¢ $4 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Zeynep Sonmez 55¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 70¢ $4 1h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY Barcelona 24¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 78¢ $4 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 22¢ $1 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 22¢ $0 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 76¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 72¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 72¢ $4 1h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY La Laguna Tenerife 48¢ $2 1h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas: O/U 163.5 BUY Under 42¢ $0 1h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas: O/U 163.5 BUY Under 42¢ $2 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 26¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 594 -3.2% -12.4% 51% 47% -12.6%
≤30d 603 -3.8% -13.0% 50% 46% -12.7%
≤90d 775 -4.8% -13.9% 44% 40% -12.5%
all 775 -4.8% -13.9% 44% 40% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 40% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 33% -20.8%
15% -29.6% 28% -28.5%
20% -36.5% 21% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $136.88 · official $137.66 (match) · 1669 history records