Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7edb…cb2e
other · 21 markets active 19h ago
0.0score
−$1,052 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$149 · open −$903
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$41,827
Realized−$149
Unrealized−$903
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions19
Markets (closed)2 / 21
History coverage7d
Avg bet$2,100
Trades / day115.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit10%
Chart Positions 19 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$149
7 days−$149
14 days−$149
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $3,895 $4,100 +$205 (+5%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $2,894 $4,050 +$1,156 (+40%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $4,011 $3,862 −$148 (-4%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $3,950 $3,797 −$153 (-4%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $2,995 $3,024 +$29 (+1%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $2,996 $3,003 +$7 (+0%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $2,942 $2,946 +$4 (+0%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $2,850 $2,692 −$158 (-6%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $2,000 $2,417 +$417 (+21%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $2,743 $2,296 −$447 (-16%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1,500 $1,689 +$189 (+13%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1,500 $1,417 −$83 (-6%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1,999 $1,250 −$749 (-37%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1,500 $1,125 −$375 (-25%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $992 $1,032 +$40 (+4%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1,286 $981 −$305 (-24%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1,310 $859 −$451 (-34%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $500 $750 +$250 (+50%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $867 $535 −$332 (-38%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $274 −$270 -98%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 11 $179 +$121 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 99% −$903
sports 1% −$149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $46 18h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $229 18h
Spread: England (-2.5) BUY England 58¢ $1 40h
Spread: England (-2.5) BUY England 58¢ $57 40h
Spread: England (-2.5) BUY England 60¢ $121 40h
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $319 4d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $319 4d
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $294 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $76 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $193 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $232 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $427 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $192 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $26 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $2 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $4 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $41 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $97 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $96 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $2 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $2 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $1 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $10 4d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $1 5d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $114 5d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $3 5d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $1 5d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $0 5d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $219 5d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $0 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -16.4% -24.4% 50% 50% -39.6%
≤30d 2 -16.4% -24.4% 50% 50% -39.6%
≤90d 2 -16.4% -24.4% 50% 50% -39.6%
all 2 -16.4% -24.4% 50% 50% -39.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.4% 50% -39.6%
10% ← realistic here -31.6% 50% -45.4%
15% -38.2% 50% -50.7%
20% -44.3% 50% -55.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41,826.59 · official $42,667.82 · 815 history records