Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7edb…7993
sports · 28 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$48,340 -93%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48,115 · open −$173
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,180
Realized−$48,115
Unrealized−$173
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses12 / 484
Whale WR (big bets)11%
Est. fees paid−$700
Open positions13
Markets (closed)496 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,864
Trades / day3475.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 13 History 496 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48,115
7 days−$48,115
14 days−$48,115
30 days−$48,115
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Flavio Cobolli 56¢ 50¢ $266 $239 −$27 (-10%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 56¢ $138 $153 +$15 (+11%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 76¢ 80¢ $129 $135 +$5 (+4%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 56¢ 28¢ $162 $81 −$81 (-50%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 19¢ 100¢ $13 $71 +$58 (+434%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Federico Cina 56¢ 57¢ $64 $65 +$1 (+2%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 66¢ 79¢ $48 $58 +$10 (+20%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 41¢ 72¢ $27 $47 +$20 (+74%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 54¢ 55¢ $44 $45 +$1 (+2%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 89¢ 100¢ $38 $43 +$4 (+11%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 66¢ $30 $41 +$11 (+36%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 23¢ 21¢ $42 $38 −$4 (-9%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 29¢ 20¢ $44 $31 −$13 (-29%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 49¢ 44¢ $33 $30 −$3 (-10%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 52¢ 34¢ $39 $25 −$14 (-35%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 69¢ 66¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-5%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 60¢ 43¢ $24 $17 −$7 (-29%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 71¢ 45¢ $27 $17 −$10 (-37%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 60¢ 60¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 37¢ 40¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 73¢ 74¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Leviatán Esports 0¢ 34¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
ITF Grado: Oliver Crawford vs Gianmarco Ferrari Oliver Crawford 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 81¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 12 $266 −$27 -10%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
ITF Grado: Oliver Crawford vs Gianmarco Ferrari Jun 12 $0 $0 +12%
Will Morocco vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$15 -195%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Jun 12 $80 −$75 -94%
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $14 −$61 -438%
Will Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Jun 12 $9 −$20 -222%
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? Jun 12 $17 −$77 -447%
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28? Jun 12 $101 −$201 -200%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $19 −$19 -102%
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $16 −$67 -419%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $533 −$537 -101%
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $22 −$30 -136%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Once Caldas vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 −$22 -200%
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw? Jun 12 $34 −$85 -252%
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $40 −$100 -248%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $51 −$124 -244%
Will CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$9 -240%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Antonia Ruzic vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will France win on 2026-03-29? Jun 12 $70 −$181 -258%
Will FC Famalicão vs. CD Nacional end in a draw? Jun 12 $14 −$29 -205%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Jun 12 $12 −$12 -103%
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-05? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -108%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $9 +$11 +126%
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Club Puebla end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 −$13 -209%
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $9 −$24 -269%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? Jun 12 $52 −$109 -208%
Will RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? Jun 12 $81 −$81 -99%
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-21? Jun 12 $12 −$27 -216%
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-07? Jun 12 $53 −$53 -99%
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 +$12 +108%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-30? Jun 12 $13 −$37 -278%
Will Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Jun 12 $295 −$28 -9%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10? Jun 12 $74 −$211 -286%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-19? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -102%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $18 −$63 -350%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $12 −$27 -221%
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31? Jun 12 $18 −$61 -344%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% −$1,461
other 45% −$4,235
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $2 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $4 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 54¢ $5 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 54¢ $1 0m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 34¢ $2 0m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 33¢ $2 0m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 43¢ $5 0m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 43¢ $5 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 52¢ $6 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 52¢ $5 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 52¢ $1 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $7 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $3 2m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 55¢ $7 2m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Federico Cina 34¢ $0 2m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 50¢ $1 2m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette SELL Magda Linette 95¢ $11 2m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 51¢ $5 2m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Sorana Cirstea 3¢ $1 2m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Sorana Cirstea 5¢ $1 2m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 51¢ $4 2m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 51¢ $2 2m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 44¢ $5 2m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 92¢ $11 2m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Federico Cina 35¢ $2 3m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Federico Cina 35¢ $2 3m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 45¢ $5 3m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 92¢ $11 3m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Federico Cina 46¢ $6 3m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Federico Cina 47¢ $5 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-94.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 496 -93.4% -94.0% 2% 2% -42.7%
≤30d 496 -93.4% -94.0% 2% 2% -42.7%
≤90d 496 -93.4% -94.0% 2% 2% -42.7%
all 496 -93.4% -94.0% 2% 2% -42.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3475.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -94.0% 2% -42.7%
10% ← realistic here -94.6% 1% -48.2%
15% -95.1% 1% -53.2%
20% -95.6% 1% -57.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,179.79 · official $1,245.77 · 3500 history records