Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7edf…a8e6
crypto · 1650 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$557 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$557 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$557
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1238 / 481
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1719 / 1650
History coverage56d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day37.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1719 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$125
7 days−$82
14 days−$83
30 days−$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$495
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $26 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $30 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $22 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1146 +5.6% -4.5% 85% 52% -10.4%
≤30d 1541 +2.0% -7.7% 75% 50% -10.7%
≤90d 1719 +0.2% -9.3% 72% 49% -13.4%
all 1719 +0.2% -9.3% 72% 49% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 49% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 34% -21.7%
15% -25.9% 11% -29.3%
20% -33.2% 8% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records