Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:21:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
7E 0x7ee0…79e8 crypto 1800 markets active 5d ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d only
✗ bot/MM pace (163 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$4 (-0%) realized −$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR62%break-even
Win rate66%1189W / 611L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day163.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$102
14 days−$393
30 days−$462
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$462
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (163 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 277 -7.8% -16.6% 61% 61% -15.9%
≤30d 1800 -3.2% -12.4% 66% 62% -12.3%
≤90d 1800 -3.2% -12.4% 66% 62% -12.3%
all 1800 -3.2% -12.4% 66% 62% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover163.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 62% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 48% -20.7%
15% -28.5% 35% -28.3%
20% -35.5% 24% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -21% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$8 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1189 / 611
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1800 / 1800
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day163.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1800 Trades
no open positions (109 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $6 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records