Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:29:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7eee…d930
crypto · 409 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$11,486 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,826 · open −$179
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,699
Realized−$10,826
Unrealized−$179
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses235 / 172
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$114
Open positions2
Markets (closed)407 / 409
History coverage242d
Avg bet$276
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 2 History 407 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$161
7 days+$161
14 days−$2,845
30 days−$4,595
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 54¢ $1,000 $955 −$45 (-4%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 Over 48¢ 40¢ $878 $743 −$134 (-15%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $1,485 $0 −$1,485 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $576 −$576 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $201 +$65 +32%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $1,530 +$2,690 +176%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1,500 −$1,485 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $413 +$151 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $303 −$303 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $743 −$743 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $739 −$739 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $384 −$384 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $424 −$424 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $454 −$454 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1,143 +$1,389 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $301 −$301 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $414 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $316 +$679 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $207 +$58 +28%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $2,450 +$729 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 06 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 06 $106 +$41 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 06 $40 +$10 +25%
Spread: Belgium (-2.5) Jun 06 $13 +$27 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 04 $522 −$29 -6%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 04 $646 −$646 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 04 $627 −$627 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $801 −$801 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 04 $454 −$454 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 04 $368 −$368 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 04 $212 −$212 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 04 $212 −$212 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 04 $317 −$317 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 04 $526 −$526 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 04 $527 −$527 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 04 $1,165 −$1,165 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 04 $167 −$167 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 04 $314 +$405 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 04 $763 +$788 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 04 $412 +$165 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 04 $205 +$107 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 04 $513 +$286 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 04 $208 +$218 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 04 $625 +$543 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 04 $566 +$78 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 04 $374 +$251 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1PM ET Jun 04 $163 +$210 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 31 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 20 $207 −$207 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 20 $242 −$242 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 20 $301 −$301 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 20 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 41% −$4,783
other 33% −$5,670
sports 25% −$621
tech 1% +$12
finance 0% +$14
world 0% +$39
politics 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 BUY Over 51¢ $115 17m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 BUY Over 47¢ $776 18m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $1,013 18m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $266 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 93¢ $4,220 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 33¢ $1,530 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 36¢ $51 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 51¢ $101 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 45¢ $203 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 57¢ $339 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $1,008 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 58¢ $101 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $115 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -19.9% -27.6% 44% 39% -8.3%
≤30d 53 -24.5% -31.7% 42% 38% -26.1%
≤90d 114 -15.4% -23.5% 45% 41% -28.5%
all 407 -1.9% -11.3% 58% 45% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 45% -18.3%
10% -19.8% 37% -26.2%
15% -27.5% 30% -33.3%
20% -34.6% 23% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,698.55 · official $1,698.55 (match) · 2090 history records