Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:45:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7eee…b911 crypto 878 markets active 2h ago coverage 62d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$166 (-2%) realized −$166 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate45%395W / 483L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day8.7pace
Kalshi-fit81%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$201
other 7% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 444 +0.1% -9.4% 2% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 451 -0.4% -9.9% 2% 1% -9.5%
≤90d 878 -2.6% -11.8% 45% 3% -11.3%
all 878 -2.6% -11.8% 45% 3% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 3% -11.3%
10% -20.3% 1% -19.8%
15% -28.0% 1% -27.6%
20% -35.0% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
0.6 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$10 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.46 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$166
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses395 / 483
Open positions0
Markets (closed)878 / 878
History coverage62d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 878 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $23 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $9 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $18 24d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 24d
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 25d
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 25d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1867 history records