Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T16:03:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
7E 0x7eef…44a0 crypto 575 markets active 0h ago coverage 39d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d only
✗ bot/MM pace (75 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,998 (-1%) realized −$1,999 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate90%517W / 57L
Whale WR94%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$502per market
Trades / day74.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$93now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$62
7 days−$634
14 days−$172
30 days−$367
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (75 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -1.9% -11.2% 89% 4% -10.9%
≤30d 482 -0.6% -10.1% 90% 2% -9.7%
≤90d 574 -0.4% -9.9% 90% 2% -9.6%
all 574 -0.4% -9.9% 90% 2% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover74.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 2% -9.6%
10% -18.5% 0% -18.2%
15% ← realistic here -26.4% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 94% (≥$784) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$71 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$93
Realized−$1,999
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses517 / 57
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)574 / 575
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$502
Trades / day74.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 574 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 91¢ 92¢ $93 $93 +$1 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 2 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 26 $328 +$36 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 26 $316 +$13 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 26 $312 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 26 $303 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 26 $297 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 26 $289 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 26 $414 +$27 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 26 $455 −$171 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 26 $111 +$18 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 26 $412 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 26 $372 +$41 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 26 $361 +$11 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 26 $350 +$11 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 26 $411 −$63 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 26 $389 −$73 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 26 $245 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 26 $476 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 26 $471 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 26 $467 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 26 $352 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 26 $462 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 26 $457 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 26 $222 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $436 +$18 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 25 $219 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 25 $426 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 25 $106 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 25 $104 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $108 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 25 $101 +$22 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $373 +$11 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 25 $365 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 25 $358 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 25 $348 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 25 $345 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 25 $341 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 25 $339 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 25 $335 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $315 +$20 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 24 $246 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 24 $302 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 24 $299 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 24 $296 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 24 $282 +$15 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $279 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 24 $276 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 24 $274 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $93 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $22 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $22 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $22 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $31 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $45 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $166 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $192 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $108 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $32 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $82 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $303 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $210 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $148 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $93.33 · official $88.74 · 3500 history records