Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7ef5…3c1e
crypto · 699 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$160 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$160 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$160
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses266 / 432
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)698 / 699
History coverage82d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day34.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 698 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 50¢ 55¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 49¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$149
sports 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 338 -1.5% -10.9% 37% 0% -10.5%
≤30d 338 -1.5% -10.9% 37% 0% -10.5%
≤90d 698 -1.5% -10.9% 38% 1% -10.3%
all 698 -1.5% -10.9% 38% 1% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 1% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 1% -18.8%
15% -27.2% 0% -26.7%
20% -34.3% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.53 · official $10.00 (match) · 3500 history records