Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f15…6a4c
crypto · 1051 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$99 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$99 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$99
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses489 / 561
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1050 / 1051
History coverage8d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day424.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1050 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$58
14 days−$99
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $8 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 822 -0.9% -10.3% 46% 26% -10.4%
≤30d 1050 -1.1% -10.6% 47% 26% -10.7%
≤90d 1050 -1.1% -10.6% 47% 26% -10.7%
all 1050 -1.1% -10.6% 47% 26% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover424.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 26% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 12% -19.2%
15% -26.9% 6% -27.0%
20% -34.1% 3% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records