Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:07:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f23…99b2
other · 9 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$971 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$855 · open −$115
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$351
Realized−$855
Unrealized−$115
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses2 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)8 / 9
History coverage72d
Avg bet$424
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 1 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$396
7 days−$396
14 days−$396
30 days−$865
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? No 93¢ 70¢ $467 $351 −$115 (-25%)
Edin Džeko: 1+ shots Yes 92¢ 0¢ $396 $0 −$396 (-100%)
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? No 90¢ 0¢ $468 $0 −$468 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? Jun 14 $465 $0 +0%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Jun 13 $467 $0 +0%
Edin Džeko: 1+ shots Jun 12 $397 −$396 -100%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? Jun 12 $461 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? May 28 $469 −$468 -100%
Yoon out of custody before 2027? May 28 $466 −$2 -0%
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5) Apr 23 $429 +$5 +1%
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5) Apr 04 $198 +$4 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$980
world 36% $0
sports 16% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? BUY No 93¢ $468 17m
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? SELL No 93¢ $465 23m
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? BUY No 93¢ $465 52m
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? SELL No 94¢ $467 20h
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? BUY No 94¢ $467 21h
Edin Džeko: 1+ shots BUY Yes 92¢ $397 44h
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? SELL No 95¢ $461 45h
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? BUY No 95¢ $461 46h
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? BUY No 90¢ $469 16d
Yoon out of custody before 2027? SELL No 91¢ $464 16d
Yoon out of custody before 2027? BUY No 91¢ $466 16d
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5) BUY Paris Saint-Germain FC 99¢ $429 52d
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5) BUY Chengdu Rongcheng FC 98¢ $198 71d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-31.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -25.0% -32.1% 0% 0% -29.5%
≤30d 6 -33.4% -39.7% 0% 0% -38.3%
≤90d 8 -24.6% -31.8% 25% 0% -32.6%
all 8 -24.6% -31.8% 25% 0% -32.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.8% 0% -32.6%
10% -38.3% 0% -39.1%
15% -44.3% 0% -45.0%
20% -49.7% 0% -50.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $351.39 · official $361.43 · 15 history records