Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:36:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f24…3a36
crypto · 838 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$411 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$499 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$87
Realized−$499
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses443 / 394
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)837 / 838
History coverage76d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day21.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 837 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 86¢ 90¢ $84 $87 +$4 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 25 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 24 $4 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 24 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 24 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 24 $4 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 24 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 24 $6 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 24 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 23 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 23 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 23 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 23 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 23 $5 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$460
politics 3% +$4
world 1% −$31
other 1% −$7
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +1.2% -8.4% 76% 76% -8.1%
≤30d 105 -4.6% -13.7% 80% 45% -9.1%
≤90d 837 -12.7% -21.0% 53% 37% -20.1%
all 837 -12.7% -21.0% 53% 37% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 37% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 32% -27.8%
15% -35.5% 22% -34.8%
20% -41.8% 13% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $87.32 · official $87.32 (match) · 2265 history records