Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f40…7afb
crypto · 627 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,106 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,102 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized−$1,102
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses374 / 245
Est. fees paid−$88
Open positions8
Markets (closed)619 / 627
History coverage40d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day31.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 8 History 619 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$125
7 days+$57
14 days−$336
30 days−$445
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-7%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Romania vs. Wales end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 +$28 +184%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $41 −$35 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$25 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$62 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $38 +$44 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $51 +$25 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$45 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$14 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$14 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$1 +3%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $95 +$15 +16%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $62 +$28 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $76 −$16 -22%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $20 +$16 +79%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $40 +$17 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$9 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +8%
England leading at halftime? Jun 10 $10 +$5 +54%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 +$3 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% −$1,276
sports 31% +$263
other 6% −$105
world 0% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $14 6m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 90¢ $43 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 3¢ $6 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $15 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $41 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $22 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $14 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $88 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $53 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $25 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 +6.5% -3.6% 65% 52% -7.6%
≤30d 444 -2.0% -11.3% 62% 49% -13.1%
≤90d 619 -4.1% -13.2% 60% 49% -15.9%
all 619 -4.1% -13.2% 60% 49% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 49% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 38% -23.9%
15% -29.1% 29% -31.3%
20% -36.1% 21% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $70.97 · official $70.97 (match) · 1333 history records