Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:07:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f42…b30b
other · 1412 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$26 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1403 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1409 / 1412
History coverage108d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 3 History 1409 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$3
14 days+$14
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Rainbow Six Siege: Kingzone vs Leviatán Esports - Game 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) EDward Gaming 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will MrBeast say "Apple" during his next YouTube video? No 99¢ 96¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Vaasan Palloseura 2 - 3 Kuopion Palloseura? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Cordoba vs. D'agostino: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: RUSTEC (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Oxuji Esports (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Medvedev vs. Cilic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will California Black Bears finish in 1st place at the Major League Pi Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland - Who wins the toss? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Yokoi vs. Chen: Total Games O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Minkens finest (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Sead Kolašinac: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots on target Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Malik Tillman: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Set 2 Winner: Li vs Hontama Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Júnior Alonso: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Weston McKennie: 2+ assists Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Sergiño Dest: 2+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Nick Madrigal: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Miguel Almirón: 3+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Yellow Card" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WRAITH PCIFIC (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire Academy (+ Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Liam Millar: 3+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Odo vs. Hursey: Total Games O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Amar Memić: 2+ goals Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 0 - 1 Drogheda United FC? Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Waterford FC 3 - 1 Sligo Rovers FC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bollipalli/Hilderbrand vs. Escobar/Kittay: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: OC Safi 3 - 2 Kawkab AC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: ONIC (-2.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+2.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Ryser vs. Knutson: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Mia Horvit vs. Emma Ottavia Ghirardato: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Bielinska vs. Mi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% +$22
sports 44% −$5
politics 2% +$1
world 1% $0
weather 1% +$1
crypto 1% +$5
finance 0% $0
culture 0% $0
tech 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will MrBeast say "Apple" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 99¢ $5 5m
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) BUY EDward Gaming 100¢ $5 12m
Rainbow Six Siege: Kingzone vs Leviatán Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 99¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Vaasan Palloseura 2 - 3 Kuopion Palloseura? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Cordoba vs. D'agostino: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 3h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: RUSTEC (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) BUY HEROIC Academy 100¢ $5 4h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Oxuji Esports (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5) BUY Oxuji Esports 100¢ $5 4h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 4h
Medvedev vs. Cilic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 5h
Yokoi vs. Chen: Total Games O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland - Who wins the toss? BUY Ireland 100¢ $5 6h
Will California Black Bears finish in 1st place at the Major League Pi BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Minkens finest (+1.5) BUY fnatic 100¢ $5 8h
Sead Kolašinac: 1+ goals + assists BUY Yes 100¢ $5 10h
Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 10h
Malik Tillman: 1+ goals + assists BUY Yes 100¢ $5 10h
Júnior Alonso: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 10h
Set 2 Winner: Li vs Hontama BUY Li 99¢ $5 11h
Weston McKennie: 2+ assists BUY No 100¢ $4 11h
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
Sergiño Dest: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
Nick Madrigal: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $4 12h
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? BUY No 99¢ $5 12h
Miguel Almirón: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 13h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 14h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 15h
Will the announcers say "Yellow Card" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA BUY Yes 100¢ $5 15h
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $5 17h
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 515 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 1% -9.0%
≤90d 1292 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 1% -9.3%
all 1409 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 1% -9.2%
10% -18.0% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.75 · official $14.75 (match) · 3133 history records