Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:06:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f4a…afd7
sports · 270 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,230 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,230 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,230
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses102 / 167
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$546
Open positions0
Markets (closed)269 / 270
History coverage34d
Avg bet$251
Trades / day19.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 269 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$908
7 days−$5,038
14 days−$5,670
30 days−$7,739
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 26¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Spurs 50¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffs Galorys 50¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Eternal Fire 40¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 39¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 72¢ 0¢ $253 $0 −$253 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 45¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Senegal leading at halftime? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner Liquid 29¢ 0¢ $291 $0 −$291 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $340 $0 −$340 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 13¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $286 $0 −$286 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Misa Esports 34¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 29¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Will Tatsuro Taira win by KO or TKO? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 50¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 53¢ 0¢ $297 $0 −$297 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) TheMongolz 55¢ 0¢ $638 $0 −$638 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $515 −$495 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $313 −$300 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1,018 +$328 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $404 −$385 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $291 −$276 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $354 −$336 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $250 +$295 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $105 +$149 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $241 −$232 -96%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $112 +$228 +203%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $285 +$220 +77%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $302 +$312 +103%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $195 +$92 +47%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $396 +$262 +66%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $369 −$365 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $235 +$531 +226%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $297 −$295 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $373 −$367 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $260 +$112 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $306 −$293 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $650 −$150 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $359 −$340 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$29 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $474 +$524 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $452 +$457 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $326 −$310 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $318 −$303 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $282 +$456 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $375 +$92 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $355 −$120 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $226 +$58 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $253 −$45 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $167 −$160 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $171 −$162 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $166 −$157 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $188 +$326 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $184 −$76 -41%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $403 −$395 -98%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $153 −$150 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $35 −$34 -97%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $201 +$292 +146%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $541 −$530 -98%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $238 +$393 +165%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $389 +$312 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $685 −$650 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $418 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $887 −$370 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $313 −$299 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $480 −$170 -35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 49% −$4,286
sports 47% −$1,637
other 4% −$1,307
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $248 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $266 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $84 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $229 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $390 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $432 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $516 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $517 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $499 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $367 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $195 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $545 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $146 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $254 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $140 2h
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL United States 99¢ $340 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $505 2h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 32¢ $112 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 148 +7.7% -2.5% 39% 39% -21.8%
≤30d 265 -3.3% -12.5% 38% 38% -21.7%
≤90d 269 -2.9% -12.2% 38% 38% -20.8%
all 269 -2.9% -12.2% 38% 38% -20.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 38% -20.8%
10% -20.6% 36% -28.4%
15% -28.2% 33% -35.3%
20% -35.3% 30% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.46 · official $0.00 (match) · 680 history records