Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T04:43:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7F 0x7f52…9805 crypto 65 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (83 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$55 (-4%) realized −$55 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate58%38W / 27L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day83.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$163
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (83 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -6.8% -15.7% 58% 48% -19.5%
≤30d 65 -6.8% -15.7% 58% 48% -19.5%
≤90d 65 -6.8% -15.7% 58% 48% -19.5%
all 65 -6.8% -15.7% 58% 48% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 48% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 34% -27.2%
15% -31.1% 17% -34.2%
20% -37.9% 11% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late -23% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$13 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses38 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)65 / 65
History coverage3d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day83.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 65 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$18 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$16 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$8 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $23 −$19 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $79 −$46 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $77 −$14 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $57 +$20 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$14 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$10 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$7 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$8 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$30 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$14 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 259 history records