Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:38:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f65…d822
crypto · 1836 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,209 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,999 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,999
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses781 / 1079
Est. fees paid−$84
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1860 / 1836
History coverage58d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day58.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1860 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,063
7 days−$1,031
14 days−$958
30 days−$654
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 50¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 46¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Legacy 32¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 53¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $79 −$79 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Jun 14 $15 −$11 -76%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 +$5 +462%
Clippers vs. Mavericks Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$5 +228%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Valorant: JD Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Hornets vs. Spurs Jun 14 $10 −$9 -92%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Spurs vs. Nuggets Jun 14 $29 −$14 -47%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$14 -170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Suns vs. Kings Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2 +$31 +2042%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$333
sports 9% −$146
other 0% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $18 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $33 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $31 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $11 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 255 -30.3% -37.0% 29% 26% -15.2%
≤30d 628 -8.6% -17.3% 40% 38% -11.3%
≤90d 1860 -6.0% -15.0% 42% 41% -15.4%
all 1860 -6.0% -15.0% 42% 41% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 41% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 40% -23.5%
15% -30.5% 39% -30.9%
20% -37.3% 37% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records