Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f66…4bac
crypto · 457 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,270 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,257 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$354
Realized−$1,257
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses254 / 203
Open positions13
Markets (closed)457 / 457
History coverage22d
Avg bet$110
Trades / day135.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 13 History 457 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$288
7 days−$303
14 days−$2,500
30 days−$1,257
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 59¢ 80¢ $100 $135 +$35 (+35%)
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No 17¢ 72¢ $20 $86 +$66 (+331%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $50 $42 −$7 (-15%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 35¢ 23¢ $49 $33 −$16 (-34%)
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? Yes 76¢ 28¢ $76 $28 −$48 (-63%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? No 23¢ 10¢ $20 $9 −$11 (-57%)
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes 16¢ 4¢ $20 $5 −$15 (-74%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? Yes 49¢ 12¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-74%)
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $113 −$112 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $112 −$112 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $114 +$86 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $113 −$113 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $111 +$89 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $110 +$87 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$88 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $113 +$87 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $112 +$88 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $113 +$87 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$87 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$87 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $113 −$113 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$114 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$114 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$114 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $113 −$113 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $113 −$113 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $114 +$84 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$88 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$88 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$88 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $113 −$113 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$1,257
other 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $8 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 157 -0.7% -10.1% 56% 56% -11.1%
≤30d 457 -0.9% -10.4% 56% 56% -11.8%
≤90d 457 -0.9% -10.4% 56% 56% -11.8%
all 457 -0.9% -10.4% 56% 56% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover135.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 56% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 56% -20.2%
15% -26.8% 56% -27.9%
20% -33.9% 56% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $353.85 · official $353.87 (match) · 3500 history records