Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T22:19:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7F 0x7f79…16a1 crypto 262 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$422 (+12%) realized +$422 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate47%123W / 139L
Drawdown82%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day39.2pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$231
7 days+$201
14 days+$109
30 days+$109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$118
other 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 220 -4.3% -13.4% 50% 50% -3.8%
≤30d 262 -10.9% -19.4% 47% 47% -6.6%
≤90d 262 -10.9% -19.4% 47% 47% -6.6%
all 262 -10.9% -19.4% 47% 47% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover39.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 47% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 47% -15.6%
15% -34.1% 47% -23.7%
20% -40.6% 47% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$10 · ×1.21 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$422
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses123 / 139
Open positions0
Markets (closed)262 / 262
History coverage8d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day39.2
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 262 Trades
no open positions (134 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 27 $387 −$375 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$42 +81%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$40 +78%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 27 $52 +$40 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 27 $382 −$109 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $33 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 27 $37 +$24 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$31 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$38 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$39 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$37 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 27 $104 +$105 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$37 +71%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$37 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $51 −$50 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$56 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$34 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$66 +128%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$39 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$36 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$33 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$36 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$39 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$38 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$54 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$33 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$39 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$39 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$51 +98%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$47 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$52 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $31 +$23 +75%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 27 $21 +$19 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 27 $21 +$21 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 27 $21 −$20 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 27 $21 +$20 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 27 $21 +$16 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$12 +119%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$10 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $47 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $51 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $51 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $52 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $52 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $52 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $52 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $52 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $52 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $52 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $52 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $52 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $33 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $37 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $51 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 444 history records