Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:02:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f81…7ce2
weather · 316 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$398 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$387 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$387
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses25 / 198
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions31
Markets (closed)223 / 316
History coverage7d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day123.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 31 History 223 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$214
7 days−$387
14 days−$387
30 days−$387
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13? No 98¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 27¢ 28¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13? No 60¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30? No 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be above 3%? Yes 17¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-32%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? No 65¢ 88¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+36%)
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? Yes 11¢ 19¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+71%)
Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup? No 77¢ 90¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+31%)
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-91%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 12? No 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on June 13? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 13? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 13? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will Valtteri Bottas get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Sergio Perez get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Arvid Lindblad get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Esteban Ocon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C or higher on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 10? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 10? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on June Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $7 $0 -2%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $7 $0 -2%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Pessoa be the top goalscorer at t Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $0 $0 +54%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13? Jun 12 $6 −$1 -24%
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $7 $0 -3%
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $7 $0 -2%
Will Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $19 −$16 -87%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $8 $0 -4%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $29 −$28 -98%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -99%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -99%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 12 $9 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June Jun 12 $4 −$1 -23%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Jun Jun 12 $8 −$1 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +54%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 13? Jun 11 $1 +$2 +116%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 56% −$239
weather 33% −$101
sports 5% −$53
tech 3% +$1
politics 2% −$2
culture 1% −$2
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? SELL Yes 20¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $4 1h
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest SELL No 89¢ $4 1h
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 84¢ $7 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P SELL No 96¢ $7 1h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 86¢ $7 1h
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cu SELL No 95¢ $8 1h
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $8 1h
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $8 1h
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $8 1h
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup SELL No 98¢ $8 1h
Will Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Pessoa be the top goalscorer at t SELL No 99¢ $8 1h
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on Ju SELL No 11¢ $1 1h
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest BUY No 87¢ $4 1h
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on Ju BUY No 11¢ $1 1h
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on Ju BUY No 11¢ $1 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13? SELL No 56¢ $4 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 71¢ $6 1h
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P SELL Yes 3¢ $0 1h
Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 97¢ $7 1h
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand BUY No 97¢ $10 1h
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr BUY No 92¢ $9 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 62¢ $6 1h
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 67¢ $7 1h
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri BUY No 89¢ $9 1h
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 94¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 90¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 223 -16.5% -24.4% 11% 6% -32.1%
≤30d 223 -16.5% -24.4% 11% 6% -32.1%
≤90d 223 -16.5% -24.4% 11% 6% -32.1%
all 223 -16.5% -24.4% 11% 6% -32.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover123.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.4% 6% -32.1%
10% ← realistic here -31.7% 5% -38.6%
15% -38.3% 4% -44.5%
20% -44.3% 4% -50.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.93 · official $8.91 · 940 history records