Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:10:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7f8b…88e0
crypto · 1301 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$397 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$397 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$397
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses912 / 415
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1327 / 1301
History coverage20d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day169.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1327 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$155
7 days−$176
14 days−$300
30 days−$397
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -91%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$7 -135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -62%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -70%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -132%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -49%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$243
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $3 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $3 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $3 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 245 -11.4% -19.9% 69% 27% -20.6%
≤30d 1327 -4.0% -13.1% 69% 24% -13.2%
≤90d 1327 -4.0% -13.1% 69% 24% -13.2%
all 1327 -4.0% -13.1% 69% 24% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover169.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 24% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 12% -21.5%
15% -29.0% 8% -29.1%
20% -36.0% 5% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records