Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:45:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fa3…39b2
other · 17 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$297 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$245 · open −$51
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$95
Realized−$245
Unrealized−$51
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses4 / 6
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions7
Markets (closed)10 / 17
History coverage2d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit18%
Chart Positions 7 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$245
7 days−$245
14 days−$245
30 days−$245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 12¢ $66 $16 −$50 (-75%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-13%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $102 +$55 +54%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $111 +$59 +53%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $81 +$225 +276%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $302 −$300 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $113 −$110 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $52 +$59 +114%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $223 −$220 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $40 −$1 -4%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 89% −$509
sports 11% +$213
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 97¢ $103 1m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $51 40m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 46¢ $54 41m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 42¢ $51 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $67 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $170 2h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $306 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $30 10h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $101 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $101 11h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $51 11h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $102 11h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $201 11h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 15h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $111 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $223 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 35h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $23 41h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 89¢ $10 42h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 8¢ $2 42h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 88¢ $10 42h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 46¢ $14 43h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 27¢ $10 43h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $21 44h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 44h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 44h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 44h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -0.7% -10.1% 40% 40% -31.1%
≤30d 10 -0.7% -10.1% 40% 40% -31.1%
≤90d 10 -0.7% -10.1% 40% 40% -31.1%
all 10 -0.7% -10.1% 40% 40% -31.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 40% -31.1%
10% -18.7% 40% -37.7%
15% -26.6% 40% -43.7%
20% -33.8% 40% -49.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.73 · official $94.73 (match) · 37 history records