trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $2 | +$0 (+38%) |
| Brewers vs. Reds | Reds | 44¢ | 0¢ | $37,421 | $0 | −$37,421 (-100%) |
| Georgia vs. Auburn | Auburn | 32¢ | 0¢ | $34 | $0 | −$34 (-100%) |
| Cubs vs. Brewers | Cubs | 42¢ | 0¢ | $154,941 | $0 | −$154,941 (-100%) |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) | Notre Dame | 48¢ | 0¢ | $4,252 | $0 | −$4,252 (-100%) |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Canucks | 36¢ | 0¢ | $56 | $0 | −$56 (-100%) |
| Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5) | Virginia | 53¢ | 0¢ | $52 | $0 | −$52 (-100%) |
| Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-2.5) | UMass | 50¢ | 0¢ | $191 | $0 | −$191 (-100%) |
| Brewers vs. Braves | Braves | 54¢ | 0¢ | $41,445 | $0 | −$41,445 (-100%) |
| Blue Jays vs. Tigers | Tigers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $9,244 | $0 | −$9,244 (-100%) |
| Nationals vs. Braves | Braves | 62¢ | 0¢ | $213,095 | $0 | −$213,095 (-100%) |
| Astros vs. Blue Jays | Astros | 38¢ | 0¢ | $35,142 | $0 | −$35,142 (-100%) |
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) | Steelers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $205,855 | $0 | −$205,855 (-100%) |
| Buccaneers vs. Seahawks | Seahawks | 64¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $0 | −$19 (-100%) |
| Red Sox vs. Orioles | Orioles | 48¢ | 0¢ | $51,129 | $0 | −$51,129 (-100%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 | Over | 38¢ | 0¢ | $6,366 | $0 | −$6,366 (-100%) |
| Spread: Lions (-6.5) | Bears | 49¢ | 0¢ | $35 | $0 | −$35 (-100%) |
| Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | Eagles | 46¢ | 0¢ | $2,325 | $0 | −$2,325 (-100%) |
| Steelers vs. Jets | Jets | 41¢ | 0¢ | $11,975 | $0 | −$11,975 (-100%) |
| Giants vs. Mets | Mets | 59¢ | 0¢ | $14,646 | $0 | −$14,646 (-100%) |
| Giants vs. Brewers | Brewers | 55¢ | 0¢ | $74,683 | $0 | −$74,683 (-100%) |
| Cubs vs. Brewers | Cubs | 35¢ | 0¢ | $1,253 | $0 | −$1,253 (-100%) |
| Spread: Vanderbilt (-1.5) | LSU | 49¢ | 0¢ | $402 | $0 | −$402 (-100%) |
| Yankees vs. Twins | Twins | 40¢ | 0¢ | $6,612 | $0 | −$6,612 (-100%) |
| Twins vs. Dodgers | Twins | 36¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers vs. Reds | Jun 12 | $37,421 | −$37,421 | -100% |
| Georgia vs. Auburn | Jun 12 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Cubs vs. Brewers | Jun 12 | $154,941 | −$154,941 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Jun 12 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $191 | −$191 | -100% |
| Brewers vs. Braves | Jun 12 | $41,445 | −$41,445 | -100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Tigers | Jun 12 | $9,244 | −$9,244 | -100% |
| Nationals vs. Braves | Jun 12 | $213,095 | −$213,095 | -100% |
| Astros vs. Blue Jays | Jun 12 | $35,142 | −$35,142 | -100% |
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) | Jun 12 | $205,855 | −$205,855 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Seahawks | Jun 12 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Red Sox vs. Orioles | Jun 12 | $51,129 | −$51,129 | -100% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 | Jun 12 | $6,366 | −$6,366 | -100% |
| Spread: Lions (-6.5) | Jun 12 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | Jun 12 | $2,325 | −$2,325 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Jets | Jun 12 | $11,975 | −$11,975 | -100% |
| Giants vs. Mets | Jun 12 | $14,646 | −$14,646 | -100% |
| Giants vs. Brewers | Jun 12 | $74,683 | −$74,683 | -100% |
| Cubs vs. Brewers | Jun 12 | $1,253 | −$1,253 | -100% |
| Yankees vs. Twins | Jun 12 | $6,612 | −$6,612 | -100% |
| Twins vs. Dodgers | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | Jun 12 | $275 | −$275 | -100% |
| Mariners vs. Rays | Jun 12 | $402,894 | −$402,894 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 | Jun 12 | $3,140 | −$3,140 | -100% |
| Angels vs. Rangers | Jun 12 | $1,345 | −$1,345 | -100% |
| Mets vs. Tigers: O/U 8.5 | Jun 12 | $10,496 | −$10,496 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. White Sox | Jun 12 | $10,216 | −$10,216 | -100% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Astros vs. Tigers | Jun 12 | $2,565 | −$2,565 | -100% |
| Orioles vs. Padres | Jun 12 | $14,790 | −$14,790 | -100% |
| Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-24? | Jun 12 | $427 | −$427 | -100% |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-6.5) | Jun 12 | $11,950 | −$11,950 | -100% |
| Pirates vs. Orioles | Jun 12 | $17,529 | −$17,529 | -100% |
| O/U 56.5 | Jun 12 | $8,239 | −$8,239 | -100% |
| Padres vs. Mariners: O/U 6.5 | Jun 12 | $185 | −$185 | -100% |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $5,570 | −$5,570 | -100% |
| Yankees vs. Orioles | Jun 12 | $181,108 | −$181,108 | -100% |
| Mets vs. Reds | Jun 12 | $193 | −$193 | -100% |
| Spread: LSU (-7.0) | Jun 12 | $182 | −$182 | -100% |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 | Jun 12 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Spread: Arkansas State (-4.5) | Jun 12 | $18,408 | −$18,408 | -100% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 | Jun 12 | $731 | −$731 | -100% |
| Rockies vs. Padres: O/U 8.5 | Jun 12 | $637 | −$637 | -100% |
| Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-28? | Jun 12 | $160 | −$160 | -100% |
| Spread: Utah (-9.5) | Jun 12 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Mariners vs. Athletics | Jun 12 | $7,623 | −$7,623 | -100% |
| Spread: Nevada (-9.5) | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Angels | Jun 12 | $20,616 | −$20,616 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 437 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 437 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 444 | -98.9% | -99.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 705 | -56.3% | -60.5% | 18% | 18% | -73.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -60.5% | 18% | -73.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -64.2% | 17% | -75.5% |
| 15% | -67.7% | 17% | -77.9% |
| 20% | -70.9% | 16% | -80.1% |