Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:09:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fc1…1579
crypto · 2052 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,121 -140%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$728 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$728
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1449 / 490
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1939 / 2052
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day1425.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 8 History 1939 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$728
7 days−$728
14 days−$728
30 days−$728
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 75¢ 98¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+31%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 96¢ 97¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 79¢ 92¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+17%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 57¢ 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 51¢ 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 60¢ 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-81%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 52¢ 10¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-82%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 29¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-88%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -6200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$5 -66%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$495
other 20% +$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 7m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 20m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 22m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1939 +5.6% -4.5% 75% 58% -26.7%
≤30d 1939 +5.6% -4.5% 75% 58% -26.7%
≤90d 1939 +5.6% -4.5% 75% 58% -26.7%
all 1939 +5.6% -4.5% 75% 58% -26.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1425.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 58% -26.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 49% -33.8%
15% -22.0% 38% -40.2%
20% -29.6% 27% -46.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.85 · official $7.12 (match) · 3500 history records