Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:36:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fc8…a9cb
crypto · 1042 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$411 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$269 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$269
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses364 / 678
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1042 / 1042
History coverage22d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day114.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1042 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$54
7 days−$114
14 days−$146
30 days−$269
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$5 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$8 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$7 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$13 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$10 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$10 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$11 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$11 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$8 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$7 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$7 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$7 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$269
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 385 -9.3% -18.0% 29% 29% -17.0%
≤30d 1042 -12.8% -21.1% 35% 34% -14.9%
≤90d 1042 -12.8% -21.1% 35% 34% -14.9%
all 1042 -12.8% -21.1% 35% 34% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover114.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.1% 34% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 32% -23.0%
15% -35.5% 30% -30.5%
20% -41.8% 27% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records