Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:35:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fca…ac29
crypto · 292 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,687 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$349 · open +$109
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,064
Realized−$349
Unrealized+$109
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses206 / 61
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Open positions25
Markets (closed)267 / 292
History coverage13d
Avg bet$200
Trades / day262.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 25 History 267 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$410
7 days−$904
14 days−$349
30 days−$349
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Yes 95¢ 99¢ $589 $616 +$26 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? Yes 98¢ 98¢ $569 $572 +$3 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Yes 92¢ 95¢ $326 $338 +$12 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? No 94¢ 99¢ $282 $299 +$17 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $199 $203 +$4 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 16? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $132 $134 +$2 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Yes 91¢ 97¢ $126 $133 +$8 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 16? No 98¢ 100¢ $112 $114 +$2 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Yes 79¢ 90¢ $86 $100 +$13 (+15%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? Yes 92¢ 96¢ $87 $92 +$4 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 15? No 96¢ 99¢ $54 $56 +$2 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 16? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $47 $47 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $45 $44 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16? No 84¢ 92¢ $38 $42 +$4 (+10%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15? No 87¢ 97¢ $37 $41 +$4 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 17? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $35 $35 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 17? No 99¢ 99¢ $35 $35 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 16? No 87¢ 99¢ $23 $27 +$3 (+13%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 17? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17? Yes 96¢ 99¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 17? No 80¢ 88¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 17? No 99¢ 99¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? Yes 72¢ 86¢ $9 $10 +$2 (+18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $632 +$30 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? Jun 14 $19 +$6 +29%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15? Jun 14 $260 +$7 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? Jun 13 $571 +$29 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? Jun 13 $69 +$3 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 15? Jun 13 $34 +$2 +6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $97 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $163 +$22 +13%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? Jun 13 $655 +$23 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $463 +$28 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $673 +$14 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $710 +$23 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? Jun 13 $371 +$15 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $120 +$14 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $66 +$5 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $142 +$7 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? Jun 13 $73 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $69 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $611 +$41 +7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $140 +$5 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $519 +$20 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $76 +$2 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $178 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? Jun 12 $72 +$3 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $386 +$24 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $565 +$33 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $247 +$15 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $400 +$25 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $125 +$6 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $481 +$53 +11%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $394 +$23 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $332 +$12 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $17 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $83 +$5 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? Jun 11 $24 +$1 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $611 +$19 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $92 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $83 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $72 +$2 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $566 +$25 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $113 +$2 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $295 +$6 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $28 +$12 +43%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $582 +$30 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $570 +$57 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $112 +$5 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $330 +$15 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$240
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 16? SELL No 100¢ $2 58m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 96¢ $19 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $45 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 96¢ $19 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 96¢ $53 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 96¢ $53 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 94¢ $24 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 95¢ $24 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 82¢ $12 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 99¢ $7 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $599 5h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? SELL No 100¢ $5 6h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? SELL No 100¢ $10 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $166 7h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? SELL No 100¢ $10 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $101 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 96¢ $24 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 100¢ $600 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 95¢ $52 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $35 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $36 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 100¢ $18 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $35 8h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $99 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $35 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 97¢ $24 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $35 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 100¢ $53 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $13 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-2.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 135 -7.1% -16.0% 77% 13% -11.9%
≤30d 267 +8.0% -2.3% 77% 20% -10.0%
≤90d 267 +8.0% -2.3% 77% 20% -10.0%
all 267 +8.0% -2.3% 77% 20% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover262.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.3% 20% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -11.6% 12% -18.6%
15% -20.2% 9% -26.4%
20% -28.0% 7% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,063.79 · official $3,063.02 (match) · 3500 history records