Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:13:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7F 0x7fde…0ab6 crypto 1469 markets active 2h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d only
✗ bot/MM pace (98 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$2,076 (-23%) realized −$2,076 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate71%1038W / 430L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day97.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$80
14 days−$80
30 days−$347
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$347
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (98 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 364 -2.8% -12.1% 82% 6% -11.9%
≤30d 1468 -4.8% -13.9% 71% 12% -13.1%
≤90d 1468 -4.8% -13.9% 71% 12% -13.1%
all 1468 -4.8% -13.9% 71% 12% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover97.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 12% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 7% -21.4%
15% -29.6% 3% -29.0%
20% -36.5% 2% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
81% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.24 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,076
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1038 / 430
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1468 / 1469
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day97.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1468 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $19 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $19 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records