Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:26:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fe4…70c1
sports · 12 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$79 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$111 · open −$32
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$111
Unrealized−$32
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses6 / 5
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions1
Markets (closed)11 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$132
Trades / day30.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$111
7 days+$111
14 days+$111
30 days+$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 33¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$32 (-99%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 42¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $87 +$49 +56%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $102 −$51 -50%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $102 +$98 +97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $167 −$22 -13%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $116 −$5 -5%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $191 +$58 +30%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $116 +$184 +158%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $127 −$125 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $144 +$33 +23%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $158 +$42 +26%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $239 −$149 -62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 33¢ $8 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 33¢ $9 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 31¢ $7 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 33¢ $8 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 69¢ $136 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 26¢ $51 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $87 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 51¢ $41 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 51¢ $58 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 51¢ $4 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $200 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 49¢ $72 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 49¢ $72 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 55¢ $167 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $102 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners SELL Under 88¢ $110 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $250 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $300 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 92¢ $13 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 92¢ $103 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 42¢ $127 23h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 76¢ $191 27h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $116 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 89¢ $177 27h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $200 27h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 23¢ $90 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 73¢ $55 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 73¢ $11 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 73¢ $7 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 71¢ $36 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +14.6% +3.7% 55% 55% -3.0%
≤30d 11 +14.6% +3.7% 55% 55% -3.0%
≤90d 11 +14.6% +3.7% 55% 55% -3.0%
all 11 +14.6% +3.7% 55% 55% -3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.7% 55% -3.0%
10% ← realistic here -6.3% 55% -12.3%
15% -15.3% 27% -20.8%
20% -23.6% 27% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.40 · official $0.40 (match) · 35 history records