Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:24:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fea…8f74
sports · 145 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$92,393 +29%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$91,654 · open −$997
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,285
Realized+$91,654
Unrealized−$997
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses364 / 213
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$3,162
Open positions16
Markets (closed)577 / 145
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2,175
Trades / day1374.7
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 16 History 577 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$91,624
7 days+$91,654
14 days+$91,654
30 days+$91,654
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 80¢ 86¢ $1,355 $1,470 +$116 (+9%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 50¢ 78¢ $872 $1,366 +$495 (+57%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 56¢ 44¢ $1,550 $1,213 −$337 (-22%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 56¢ $1,012 $1,119 +$107 (+11%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Elizabeth Mandlik 34¢ 65¢ $256 $488 +$232 (+91%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 61¢ 22¢ $874 $307 −$567 (-65%)
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? No 84¢ 100¢ $246 $293 +$47 (+19%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 90¢ 98¢ $266 $292 +$26 (+10%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 45¢ 55¢ $229 $280 +$51 (+22%)
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? No 72¢ 100¢ $165 $230 +$65 (+39%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 42¢ 14¢ $223 $72 −$151 (-68%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 46¢ 50¢ $57 $62 +$5 (+9%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 6¢ 10¢ $17 $27 +$10 (+58%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Under 64¢ 52¢ $27 $22 −$5 (-18%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 49¢ 35¢ $23 $16 −$6 (-29%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 36¢ 45¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+25%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 Over 36¢ 46¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+29%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Benjamin Bonzi 2¢ 2¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Yes 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Under 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Alice Tubello Dominika Salkova 93¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? No 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+26%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $246 +$13 +5%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 12 $165 +$65 +39%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $1 −$284 -35210%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$231 +38500%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 12 $1 −$234 -28847%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Alice Tubello Jun 12 $0 −$370 -77496%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 12 $0 −$652 -213632%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $0 +$353 +233685%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 12 $0 −$653 -176553%
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1127%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 −$97 -59909%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 12 $0 −$1,228 -575627%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $0 −$1,126 -742582%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $0 −$559 -380784%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $0 −$141 -88332%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $0 −$350 -254941%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $0 −$319 -222000%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Jun 12 $0 −$219 -160055%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $0 −$54 -68524%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $0 −$6 -8594%
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $0 +$95 +96530%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $0 −$337 -418242%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $9 +$582 +6152%
Magic vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $57 +$5,259 +9150%
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $1 +$42 +3491%
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 12 $1 +$191 +36942%
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $2 +$41 +2430%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $5 +$4 +67%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $59 +$174 +293%
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 +$138 +228571%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $0 +$384 +7686908%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $11 +$252 +2390%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $0 +$70 +1363476%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jun 12 $0 +$93 +30707%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $2 −$6 -354%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 12 $754 −$1,027 -136%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $15 −$180 -1219%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Diletta Cherubini vs Jun 12 $0 +$147 +128630%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03? Jun 12 $0 +$151 +2475575%
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-11? Jun 12 $0 +$69 +23230%
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva Jun 12 $0 +$437 +238728%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $1 +$452 +73593%
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. North Carolina Central Eagles Jun 12 $0 +$541 +733625%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Day Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Jun 12 $0 +$171 +37543%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gill Jun 12 $587 −$602 -102%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $432 −$470 -109%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks Jun 12 $0 +$20 +59719%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $0 +$232 +891733%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$3,091
other 12% −$2,023
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 62¢ $474 0m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 49¢ $23 0m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 43¢ $8 0m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 57¢ $24 1m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 36¢ $7 1m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 55¢ $2 1m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 41¢ $31 1m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 41¢ $14 1m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 41¢ $1 1m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 41¢ $32 1m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 41¢ $108 2m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 61¢ $2 2m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 64¢ $0 3m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 43¢ $17 3m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 17¢ $9 3m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 83¢ $498 4m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 77¢ $164 5m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 28¢ $3 5m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 64¢ $21 5m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 37¢ $222 6m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 45¢ $165 7m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 45¢ $49 7m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 37¢ $6 7m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 61¢ $366 9m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 61¢ $11 9m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 60¢ $5 9m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 1¢ $2 10m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 90¢ $540 10m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 4¢ $0 11m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 33¢ $16 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+692.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 577 +775.8% +692.4% 63% 56% -0.3%
≤30d 577 +775.8% +692.4% 63% 56% -0.3%
≤90d 577 +775.8% +692.4% 63% 56% -0.3%
all 577 +775.8% +692.4% 63% 56% -0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1374.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +692.4% 56% -0.3%
10% ← realistic here +616.6% 55% -9.9%
15% +547.3% 53% -18.6%
20% +483.9% 53% -26.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,284.96 · official $7,274.61 (match) · 3500 history records