Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:39:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x801c…0f69
crypto · 1065 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$54 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$56 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$56
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1014 / 48
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1062 / 1065
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day2282.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1062 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days+$56
14 days+$56
30 days+$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 92¢ 82¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 94¢ 74¢ $8 $7 −$2 (-21%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 95¢ 94¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$53
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1062 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 1% -8.9%
≤30d 1062 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 1% -8.9%
≤90d 1062 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 1% -8.9%
all 1062 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 1% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2282.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 1% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -17.7%
15% -26.3% 0% -25.6%
20% -33.5% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.68 · official $14.82 · 3500 history records