trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 67% | 67% | -47.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +4.4% | -5.5% | 80% | 40% | -30.0% |
| all | 16 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 75% | 25% | -28.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.2% | 25% | -28.7% |
| 10% | -26.1% | 25% | -35.5% |
| 15% | -33.2% | 19% | -41.7% |
| 20% | -39.8% | 12% | -47.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $195 | $193 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $260 | −$256 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $60 | +$38 | +65% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $97 | +$43 | +44% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 14 | $111 | −$110 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $28 | +$28 | +101% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | May 08 | $236 | +$64 | +27% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting? | Apr 21 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Apr 21 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Apr 21 | $17 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will March 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | Apr 21 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | Feb 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 02 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon reach $320 in January? | Jan 31 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 31 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31? | Jan 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026?? | Jan 09 | $17 | $0 | +0% |