trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -40.3% | -45.9% | 25% | 25% | -15.8% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -25.4% | -32.5% | 31% | 31% | -11.6% |
| ≤90d | 34 | -24.9% | -32.1% | 29% | 29% | -14.7% |
| all | 34 | -24.9% | -32.1% | 29% | 29% | -14.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.1% | 29% | -14.7% |
| 10% | -38.6% | 29% | -22.9% |
| 15% | -44.5% | 26% | -30.4% |
| 20% | -50.0% | 21% | -37.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $200 | $176 | −$24 (-12%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $70 | $76 | +$6 (+9%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $90 | $70 | −$20 (-22%) |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $60 | $51 | −$9 (-15%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $60 | $50 | −$10 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $71 | −$70 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 17 | $202 | −$7 | -4% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $124 | −$123 | -99% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $138 | −$135 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $317 | +$149 | +47% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $339 | +$162 | +48% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $58 | −$57 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $72 | −$9 | -13% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 01 | $121 | −$120 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 30 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $92 | −$90 | -98% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $204 | +$323 | +158% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $41 | −$21 | -52% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $148 | +$36 | +24% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 26 | $122 | −$120 | -98% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27? | May 25 | $72 | −$70 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | May 24 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $89 | +$252 | +282% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $30 | +$35 | +114% |
| Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? | May 23 | $66 | +$74 | +111% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $32 | +$17 | +52% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $26 | −$8 | -30% |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20? | May 19 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $92 | −$90 | -98% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? | May 08 | $91 | −$90 | -99% |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF? | May 08 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? | May 07 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07? | May 07 | $56 | +$164 | +291% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 16 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $80 | −$66 | -82% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 14 | $50 | +$52 | +105% |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | Apr 06 | $40 | −$39 | -98% |