trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +3.2% | -6.6% | 25% | 25% | -6.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 17% | 17% | -31.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -18.9% | -26.7% | 21% | 5% | -10.4% |
| all | 19 | -18.9% | -26.7% | 21% | 5% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.7% | 5% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -33.7% | 0% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -40.1% | 0% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -46.0% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 25 | $66 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | Jun 25 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | Jun 23 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $57 | +$8 | +14% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: struggletony (-3.5) vs MASONIC (+3.5) | Jun 12 | $82 | −$82 | -100% |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? | Jun 12 | $71 | −$15 | -21% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | May 22 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Spread: FC København (-2.5) | May 22 | $503 | +$42 | +8% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? | May 21 | $504 | $0 | +0% |
| Pyramids FC vs. Smouha SC: O/U 4.5 | May 21 | $466 | +$39 | +8% |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | May 20 | $461 | −$1 | -0% |
| Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-2.5) | May 20 | $439 | +$27 | +6% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | May 18 | $450 | −$10 | -2% |
| Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5) | Apr 26 | $12 | −$8 | -66% |
| Spread: Torino FC (-1.5) | Apr 26 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | Apr 26 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Watford FC (-2.5) | Apr 21 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? | Apr 21 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | Apr 09 | $294 | −$1 | -0% |