Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:46:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
80 0x802b…dab0 crypto 32 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1 (+1%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%32W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day32.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 32 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -8.7%
≤90d 32 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -8.7%
all 32 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 0% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 0% -17.4%
15% -25.4% 0% -25.4%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses32 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 32 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 64 history records