Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x8045…d3fb
crypto · 1280 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$271 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$271 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$271
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses456 / 824
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1280 / 1280
History coverage69d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day48.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1280 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$55
14 days−$122
30 days−$242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$4 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$3 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$271
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $4 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $4 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $4 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $2 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 405 -2.8% -12.0% 28% 25% -12.7%
≤30d 1177 -1.4% -10.7% 36% 32% -13.8%
≤90d 1280 -2.8% -12.1% 36% 31% -14.2%
all 1280 -2.8% -12.1% 36% 31% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 31% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 28% -22.4%
15% -28.2% 25% -29.9%
20% -35.2% 23% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records