Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:55:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x8056…b64d
sports · 348 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$19,051 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20,098 · open −$642
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$26,348
Realized+$20,098
Unrealized−$642
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses147 / 167
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$5,320
Open positions38
Markets (closed)314 / 348
Avg bet$930
Trades / day148.4
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 38 History 314 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$792
7 days+$3,504
14 days+$6,512
30 days+$20,098
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 53¢ 56¢ $5,520 $5,880 +$359 (+7%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 13¢ 34¢ $1,048 $2,709 +$1,662 (+159%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 56¢ $1,596 $1,582 −$14 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 58¢ 55¢ $1,517 $1,424 −$93 (-6%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 63¢ 60¢ $1,277 $1,231 −$46 (-4%)
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 28¢ 32¢ $1,062 $1,185 +$123 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 54¢ 52¢ $1,098 $1,073 −$25 (-2%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $1,110 $1,060 −$50 (-5%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 62¢ $699 $867 +$168 (+24%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 24¢ 23¢ $898 $855 −$43 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 32¢ $865 $852 −$13 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $765 $757 −$8 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 77¢ 78¢ $714 $719 +$5 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 30¢ $721 $709 −$12 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 51¢ 52¢ $587 $604 +$17 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 68¢ 60¢ $599 $527 −$72 (-12%)
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $283 $457 +$174 (+62%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 21¢ 19¢ $444 $412 −$32 (-7%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $411 $408 −$3 (-1%)
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 36¢ 40¢ $337 $370 +$33 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Virtus.pro 51¢ 50¢ $377 $366 −$11 (-3%)
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No 35¢ 36¢ $350 $365 +$15 (+4%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $370 $357 −$14 (-4%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $288 $276 −$12 (-4%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $300 $270 −$30 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $477 −$477 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $316 −$316 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $225 +$206 +92%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $1,236 +$1,933 +156%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $982 +$609 +62%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3,591 +$1,723 +48%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $227 −$227 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $452 −$452 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $483 −$483 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $205 −$205 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $632 −$632 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $1,186 −$1,186 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $601 −$601 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $601 −$601 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $922 −$922 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $1,515 −$1,515 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,929 −$1,929 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,139 −$1,270 -59%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4,615 +$4,847 +105%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1,901 +$984 +52%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,377 +$1,392 +101%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $508 +$684 +135%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $643 −$643 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,842 +$1,063 +58%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $1,619 −$1,619 -100%
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $226 +$446 +197%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 10 $84 +$6 +7%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $6,627 +$6,197 +94%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $911 −$911 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,635 −$1,635 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $784 +$341 +43%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $453 −$453 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $644 −$644 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $458 −$458 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,077 −$1,077 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $989 −$989 -100%
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1,309 +$618 +47%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $205 −$205 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $285 +$323 +114%
Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $35 −$35 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,114 +$1,019 +91%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $581 +$687 +118%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $586 +$217 +37%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 08 $173 −$173 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,097 −$1,097 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $995 +$1,446 +145%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,504 +$1,602 +106%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3,734 +$2,456 +66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$19,501
other 3% −$423
politics 1% −$93
world 1% +$471
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $430 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 55¢ $342 8m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 16¢ $228 27m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 45¢ $226 45m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 72¢ $314 45m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 15¢ $228 46m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 65¢ $138 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 65¢ $224 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 33¢ $113 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 11¢ $79 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 34¢ $226 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 35¢ $113 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $225 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $56 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $89 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $259 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $0 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $2 4h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 62¢ $45 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $4 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -19.4% -27.1% 41% 40% -6.9%
≤30d 314 -4.7% -13.8% 47% 46% -3.5%
≤90d 314 -4.7% -13.8% 47% 46% -3.5%
all 314 -4.7% -13.8% 47% 46% -3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover148.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 46% -3.5%
10% -22.0% 45% -12.7%
15% ← realistic here -29.6% 43% -21.1%
20% -36.5% 35% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26,347.91 · official $26,347.91 (match) · 3500 history records