Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:27:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x805a…12c8
crypto · 638 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$139 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$136 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$136
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses533 / 104
Open positions1
Markets (closed)637 / 638
History coverage8d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day362.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 637 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$75
7 days−$163
14 days−$136
30 days−$136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 54¢ 64¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 45¢ 36¢ $11 $9 −$2 (-21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$7 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$139
weather 6% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $0 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $8 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $11 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $12 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 581 -3.0% -12.2% 84% 1% -10.6%
≤30d 637 -2.4% -11.7% 84% 1% -10.3%
≤90d 637 -2.4% -11.7% 84% 1% -10.3%
all 637 -2.4% -11.7% 84% 1% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover362.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 1% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 0% -18.9%
15% -27.9% 0% -26.8%
20% -34.9% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.99 · official $24.99 (match) · 3500 history records