Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:26:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x805b…ee0c
crypto · 577 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,570 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,559 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$380
Realized−$2,559
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses190 / 684
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions6
Markets (closed)874 / 577
History coverage4d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day769.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 6 History 874 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,598
7 days−$2,559
14 days−$2,559
30 days−$2,559
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 28¢ 100¢ $23 $82 +$58 (+254%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Down 24¢ 100¢ $17 $70 +$53 (+317%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $41 $70 +$28 (+69%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 78¢ 81¢ $39 $41 +$1 (+4%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 76¢ 74¢ $38 $37 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $21 $35 +$14 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 38¢ 50¢ $10 $12 +$3 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Down 40¢ 32¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-21%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Down 26¢ 9¢ $14 $5 −$9 (-66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 36¢ 2¢ $4 $0 −$3 (-96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 9AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 8AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 6PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$58 +254%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$53 +317%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$14 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 9AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 8AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 6PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 8PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 3PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$420
sports 8% +$40
other 5% +$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 18m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $7 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 20m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 21m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 76¢ $19 28m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 81¢ $20 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-50.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 874 -45.3% -50.5% 22% 17% -23.5%
≤30d 874 -45.3% -50.5% 22% 17% -23.5%
≤90d 874 -45.3% -50.5% 22% 17% -23.5%
all 874 -45.3% -50.5% 22% 17% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover769.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.5% 17% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -55.2% 15% -30.8%
15% -59.6% 11% -37.5%
20% -63.5% 9% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $379.59 · official $381.99 (match) · 3500 history records