Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x8067…08c6
crypto · 232 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$748 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$750 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$12
Realized−$750
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses122 / 105
Open positions5
Markets (closed)227 / 232
Avg bet$29
Trades / day22.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 5 History 227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 3¢ 5¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+90%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 26¢ 18¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-30%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? Yes 50¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-21%)
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 83¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 6, 1PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -34%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$11 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$5 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$8 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$7 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$7 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2AM ET Feb 11 $27 −$13 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1AM ET Feb 11 $38 −$15 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8AM ET Feb 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6AM ET Feb 07 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4AM ET Feb 07 $1 $0 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3AM ET Feb 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Feb 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2PM ET Feb 06 $3 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$744
other 0% −$6
world 0% +$3
politics 0% −$4
tech 0% +$3
culture 0% $0
finance 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 57m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes 2¢ $0 2h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes 2¢ $0 2h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes 2¢ $0 2h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes 2¢ $0 2h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 2h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes 2¢ $0 2h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY Yes 2¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-30.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -11.1% -19.5% 52% 24% -20.5%
≤30d 42 -11.1% -19.5% 52% 24% -20.5%
≤90d 42 -11.1% -19.5% 52% 24% -20.5%
all 227 -23.4% -30.7% 54% 13% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.7% 13% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -37.3% 7% -28.8%
15% -43.4% 4% -35.6%
20% -48.9% 4% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.12 · official $12.27 (match) · 3500 history records