trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +194.8% | +166.7% | 29% | 29% | -54.6% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +56.8% | +41.9% | 37% | 32% | -1.9% |
| ≤90d | 77 | +21.1% | +9.6% | 39% | 35% | +9.2% |
| all | 77 | +21.1% | +9.6% | 39% | 35% | +9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +9.6% | 35% | +9.2% |
| 10% | -0.9% | 29% | -1.2% |
| 15% | -10.5% | 25% | -10.8% |
| 20% | -19.2% | 21% | -19.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 59¢ | 16¢ | $1,457 | $384 | −$1,073 (-74%) |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 3¢ | $850 | $210 | −$640 (-75%) |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $200 | $173 | −$27 (-13%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $80 | $79 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 68¢ | 1¢ | $2,200 | $18 | −$2,182 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $103 | +$19 | +19% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $257 | −$250 | -97% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $488 | −$480 | -98% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$379 | +1845% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $34 | −$33 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $334 | +$1,100 | +329% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 04 | $4,000 | +$624 | +16% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $272 | −$270 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $414 | −$405 | -98% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | May 25 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $267 | −$260 | -98% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | May 21 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $811 | +$59 | +7% |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20? | May 20 | $14 | −$14 | -97% |
| Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | May 20 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 19 | $5,000 | +$588 | +12% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 19 | $1,021 | +$536 | +52% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 09 | $102 | +$98 | +97% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $27 | −$26 | -97% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $409 | −$200 | -49% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $36 | −$35 | -97% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 03 | $154 | −$150 | -97% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 03 | $216 | −$211 | -97% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 03 | $300 | −$189 | -63% |
| Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 | May 03 | $300 | −$28 | -9% |
| Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NB | May 03 | $300 | +$3 | +1% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $97 | −$23 | -23% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $225 | +$910 | +404% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 02 | $154 | +$271 | +176% |
| Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | May 01 | $41 | −$40 | -97% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | May 01 | $7,500 | +$1,494 | +20% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | May 01 | $5,000 | +$1,117 | +22% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $70 | +$46 | +65% |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | Apr 27 | $70 | +$70 | +100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 26 | $10 | +$112 | +1116% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: Rockets (-9.5) | Apr 23 | $200 | −$197 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 23 | $200 | −$199 | -99% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 22 | $1,000 | −$19 | -2% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Apr 22 | $8,500 | +$2,073 | +24% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | Apr 21 | $300 | +$118 | +39% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Apr 21 | $1,000 | −$50 | -5% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 21 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 21 | $9,500 | +$3,763 | +40% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 20 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |