trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -43.2% | -48.6% | 33% | 33% | -65.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -47.7% | -52.7% | 36% | 36% | -51.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -30.4% | -37.0% | 47% | 47% | -50.2% |
| all | 78 | +6.3% | -3.8% | 60% | 59% | -33.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.8% | 59% | -33.7% |
| 10% | -13.1% | 56% | -40.1% |
| 15% | -21.5% | 46% | -45.9% |
| 20% | -29.2% | 42% | -51.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $129 | $125 | −$4 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $172 | +$121 | +70% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $209 | −$204 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $392 | −$391 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $288 | −$283 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $292 | −$288 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $619 | −$612 | -99% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $699 | +$170 | +24% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $421 | +$78 | +18% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $57 | −$56 | -98% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva | Jun 04 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Jun 04 | $13 | +$8 | +62% |
| Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians | May 07 | $8 | +$7 | +83% |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Gi | Apr 20 | $18 | +$10 | +57% |
| Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05? | Apr 05 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | Apr 05 | $39 | +$12 | +30% |
| Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-21? | Mar 29 | $22 | +$17 | +75% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group | Mar 21 | $27 | +$9 | +32% |
| Will Romania win on 2025-09-09? | Mar 18 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28? | Mar 18 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Utah | Mar 18 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Mariners vs. Tigers | Mar 18 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets | Mar 18 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Pacers | Mar 18 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? | Mar 18 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | Mar 18 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Suns | Mar 18 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland | Mar 04 | $40 | +$11 | +28% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14? | Feb 20 | $39 | +$14 | +35% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08? | Feb 14 | $22 | +$17 | +79% |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 26 | $85 | −$42 | -50% |
| Australian Open Men's: Liam Draxl vs Damir Dzumhur | Jan 25 | $46 | +$34 | +75% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Utah | Jan 17 | $29 | +$21 | +72% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Jan 13 | $19 | +$10 | +54% |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3) | Nov 29 | $24 | +$15 | +61% |
| Colorado vs. West Virginia | Nov 13 | $27 | +$12 | +47% |
| Capitals vs. Sabres | Nov 08 | $17 | +$14 | +85% |
| Commanders vs. Cowboys | Nov 01 | $12 | +$11 | +85% |
| Dodgers vs. Brewers | Oct 19 | $13 | +$11 | +89% |
| Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-03? | Oct 07 | $7 | +$5 | +82% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16? | Sep 28 | $11 | +$4 | +37% |
| Orioles vs. Blue Jays | Sep 16 | $7 | +$5 | +61% |
| Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-31? | Sep 09 | $14 | +$6 | +43% |
| Northwestern vs. Tulane | Aug 31 | $15 | +$8 | +52% |
| Athletics vs. Rays | Aug 30 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Rays vs. Yankees | Aug 30 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Athletics vs. Orioles | Aug 30 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Yankees vs. Reds | Aug 30 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. 76ers | Aug 30 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Cubs vs. Yankees | Aug 30 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-25? | Aug 30 | $12 | +$10 | +79% |